Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.168596 0.190121 0.212781 0.238359 0.266372 0.296065 0.329862
2025-04-20 0.141297 0.170558 0.203019 0.241512 0.285714 0.334687 0.392841
2025-04-27 0.123752 0.158424 0.198645 0.248341 0.307663 0.375760 0.459370
2025-05-04 0.107604 0.145454 0.191192 0.249834 0.322266 0.408013 0.516342
2025-05-11 0.096398 0.136901 0.187676 0.254936 0.340517 0.444540 0.579172
2025-05-18 0.088029 0.130814 0.186273 0.261917 0.360724 0.483622 0.646036
2025-05-25 0.077792 0.121013 0.178940 0.260259 0.369226 0.507798 0.694601
2025-06-01 0.069551 0.113007 0.173111 0.259778 0.378668 0.532934 0.744648
2025-06-08 0.062356 0.105692 0.167474 0.258859 0.387013 0.556445 0.792843
2025-06-15 0.058001 0.102095 0.166670 0.264340 0.403947 0.591516 0.856927
2025-06-22 0.052699 0.096484 0.162410 0.264422 0.413079 0.616058 0.907331
2025-06-29 0.047918 0.091200 0.158161 0.264078 0.421309 0.639309 0.956302
2025-07-06 0.043335 0.085917 0.153688 0.263355 0.429261 0.662898 1.007192
2025-07-13 0.040060 0.082505 0.151849 0.266417 0.442729 0.694517 1.070001
2025-07-20 0.037941 0.080884 0.152714 0.273607 0.462489 0.735556 1.147027
2025-07-27 0.034929 0.077340 0.150129 0.275108 0.473566 0.764247 1.207107
2025-08-03 0.032905 0.075411 0.150068 0.280559 0.490763 0.802201 1.281270
2025-08-10 0.031394 0.074296 0.151281 0.288065 0.511305 0.845519 1.364107
2025-08-17 0.028543 0.070253 0.147066 0.286254 0.516983 0.866693 1.414911
2025-08-24 0.026155 0.066875 0.143763 0.285723 0.524544 0.890735 1.470313
2025-08-31 0.023925 0.063573 0.140335 0.284724 0.531180 0.913388 1.523986
2025-09-07 0.022776 0.062463 0.140888 0.290640 0.549244 0.953941 1.605279
2025-09-14 0.021007 0.059787 0.138261 0.290727 0.557556 0.979456 1.664226